Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?

Resolved

No, settled May 29, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$127.7K

Resolved

Settled

May 29, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 29 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 77.5% on 13 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 13 May 2026 to 29 May 2026, the highest close was 85.5% on 20 May 2026 and the lowest 3.5% on 29 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 60% on 21 May 2026. $127.65K traded over the market's life.

57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 30, 10:05 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 13 May 2026 – 29 May 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 May 2026	77.5%
29 May 2026	3.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
KOMZY	Yes	1.6K
arthz	Yes	1.56K
Vital-Antler	Yes	1.1K
norealtime	Yes	918.33

10 of 57 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

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