Analytics
Resolved No on 29 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 52.5% on 1 May 2026 and the low 5.5% on 5 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 23% on 2 May 2026. $190.78K traded over the market's life.
75 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 30, 9:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 34 points · 26 Apr 2026 – 29 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 May 2026 | 22.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| exothetajunkie | Yes | 3.28K |
| sam52727482916 | Yes | 2.83K |
| baummark2 | Yes | 1.56K |
| MotorControl | Yes | 1.14K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-spy-hit-in-may-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| capib | Yes | 997.03 |
| Subtle-Capability | Yes | 519.38 |
| 2009matizcre | Yes | 480.04 |
| mikumikumiku | Yes | 397.65 |
| bean125 | Yes | 337 |
| 2gger23 | Yes | 300 |
