Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 5 Mar 2026 and the low 50% on 4 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 100% on 5 Mar 2026.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 10:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 5 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ULET | No | 247.41K |
| wizz00p | No | 1K |
| v7H | No | 60 |
| tiancs | No | 50 |
| vger7 | No | 40 |
| 0xwon | No | 25 |
| 656yertr | No | 10 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-sp-500-spx-hit-by-end-of-march
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