Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.5%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 6 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 60 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 4 Oct 2026, the highest close was 26.5% on 26 Sep 2026 and the lowest 4% on 10 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 19.5% on 6 Sep 2026. $653.1 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 4 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 10.5% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team completes the 2026 college football regular season undefeated. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Only regular-season games count; conference championship, bowl, and College Football Playoff games do not count toward this market. A canceled or unplayed game does not count as a loss. If the 2026 FBS regular season is not completed for the listed team such that its undefeated status cannot be determined, or is postponed past January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-have-an-undefeated-season-20260804202438626
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