Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 30% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 216 daily closes on record from 9 Dec 2025 to 20 Jul 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42.5% on 16 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. $1.17M traded over the market's life.
519 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 21, 1:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 216 points, 9 Dec 2025 – 20 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 30.0% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 393.68K |
| balthazar | Yes | 64.6K |
| debased | Yes | 46.85K |
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-continent-will-win-the-world-cup
| tsihkodiives | Yes | 17.57K |
| KristonTiti | Yes | 12.79K |
| troim | Yes | 12K |
| ramboguido | Yes | 4.18K |
| cryptopetrucho | Yes | 4.04K |
| Dar1us | Yes | 4K |
| Gleaming-Pear | Yes | 3.95K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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