Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 2 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 173 daily closes on record from 2 May 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the highest close was 24.5% on 2 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 1% on 3 May 2026. $56.13K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 8:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 173 points, 2 May 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | 24.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.72K |
| balthazar | Yes | 197.05 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 150 |
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-premier-of-quebec-594
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 144.66 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 104.36 |
| Crimson Summit 6D33 | Yes | 99.99 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 77.77 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 77 |
| Jade Maven 34B8 | Yes | 60 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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