
Resolved No on 3 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 28 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2025 to 3 Jan 2026, the highest close was 4.5% on 28 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Dec 2025. $19.83K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 3 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | 4.5% |
| 3 Jan 2026 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 11.86K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 2.4K |
| selbywest | Yes | 1.43K |
| EdwardLewis | Yes | 865.84 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship hockey tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship per the rules of the tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the knockout stages), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IIHF World Junior Championship tournament organizers (https://www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm20); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hockey-2026-iihf-world-junior-championship-winner
| shine | Yes | 825.27 |
| NoMoreMister | Yes | 712.45 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 355 |
| BroukPytlik | Yes | 353.22 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 331.74 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 301 |
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