Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 25 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2025 to 31 Oct 2025, the highest close was 48.5% on 25 Oct 2025 and the lowest 5% on 30 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 22% on 27 Oct 2025. $17.42K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 25 Oct 2025 – 31 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | 48.5% |
| 31 Oct 2025 | 5.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.24K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 753 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 694 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-october-31
| Yes |
| 138 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 88 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 16 |
| moon-k58-lad | Yes | 16 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 14 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 12.99 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 10 |
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