Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 35% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 62 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 44.5% on 4 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 4.3% on 12 Jul 2026. $549.84 traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 3:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 1 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 35.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.94K |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 196.4 |
| korda77 | Yes | 178 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/vote-winner-in-alaska-senate-primary-final-round-20260630164517313
| Yes |
| 150 |
| merod | Yes | 139 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 57.74 |
| HappyHippocampus | Yes | 25 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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