Will 'Shadow Force' gross more than $2m opening weekend?

Resolved

Yes, settled May 13, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$39.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

May 13, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 13 May 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 8 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 8 May 2025 to 13 May 2025, the highest close was 100% on 13 May 2025 and the lowest 43% on 11 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 78.5% on 12 May 2025. $39.33K traded over the market's life.

7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 14, 12:22 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 8 May 2025 – 13 May 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 May 2025	50.0%
13 May 2025	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	11.9K
lotuseater	No	70
RandomInternetPerson	No	33.33
NiGriMa671	No	0.02

7 of 7 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to how much “Shadow Force” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Shadow-Force-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 9 - May 11) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by May 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.