Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.9% on 17 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2024 to 21 Oct 2024, the highest close was 10.3% on 20 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 0.1% on 21 Oct 2024. $2.24K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 9:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Oct 2024 – 21 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2024 | 2.9% |
| 21 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 243.51 |
| ThirdFeet | Yes | 112.27 |
| ernesto | Yes | 4.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the winner of the US Grand Prix race.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-grand-prix-winner
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