Will Seán Kyne win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

Resolved

Yes, settled May 24, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$27.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

May 24, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 24 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 75.5%. Yes opened at 22% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 66 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2026 to 24 May 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 75.5% on 24 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 75.5% on 24 May 2026. $27.26K traded over the market's life.

29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 25, 9:26 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 27 Feb 2026 – 24 May 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Feb 2026	22.0%
24 May 2026	75.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	25.29K
TheBigCheese11	No	667.84
henriksson	No	461.72

10 of 29 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).