Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 23.5% on 3 Mar 2026 and the low 0.1% on 9 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 2.5% on 4 Mar 2026.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 9:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 14 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 23.5% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.45K |
| alesjo20 | Yes | 368.15 |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 300 |
| DiddyMaster | Yes | 262.98 |
| Joshlock | Yes | 154 |
| Punia | Yes | 100 |
| megadarkparticle | Yes | 100 |
| 0xd0asbr274g27rg | Yes | 100 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 99.99 |
| Key-Rooster | Yes | 90.91 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of March 6 - 8. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 6 - March 8) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-grossing-movie-this-weekend-march-6
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