Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 22 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2026 to 21 Aug 2026, the highest close was 88% on 17 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 21 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 38.5% on 20 Aug 2026. $9.31K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 22 Jul 2026 – 21 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 947.8 |
| azu1005 | Yes | 500 |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Yes | 300 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
A special election is currently scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the 12th district seat in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pa-house-of-representatives-district-12-special-election-winner-20260721163745628
| Yes |
| 61.57 |
| UTILIZADOR2 | Yes | 50 |
| Royal Pulse AF37 | Yes | 40.93 |
| Royal Horizon 9999 | Yes | 30.5 |
| Lean-Pledge | Yes | 20 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| Elias.Thornwell | Yes | 6.89 |
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