Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 16% on 27 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 282 daily closes on record from 27 Mar 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 44.5% on 5 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 33% on 3 Apr 2025. $147.79K traded over the market's life.
68 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 282 points, 27 Mar 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2025 | 16.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LowValue | Yes | 1.63K |
| tf3746 | Yes | 656.82 |
| zetathek1lla | Yes | 506 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-leave-trump-administration-in-2025
| maalialmeida | Yes | 500 |
| 22parent | Yes | 340 |
| Cosmic Voyager 823F | Yes | 300 |
| JVW | Yes | 288.11 |
| titan77 | Yes | 245 |
| FridayNight | Yes | 200 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 184.45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
