Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 23% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 31 Jul 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 23% on 25 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 1.1% on 26 Jun 2026. $2.33K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 31, 10:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 31 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 23.0% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 31.92K |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 1.43K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.1K |
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-july-20260624193025470
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 950 |
| Perfect-Neighbourhood | Yes | 797.13 |
| Lesivv | Yes | 499.99 |
| Anon321321 | Yes | 430.79 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 193.17 |
| korda77 | Yes | 183.54 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
