Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 19 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2025 to 31 Jan 2026, the highest close was 29.5% on 19 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 2.1% on 20 Dec 2025. $540.18K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 19 Dec 2025 – 31 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | 29.5% |
| 31 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 225.14K |
| Bustling-Astrakhan | Yes | 9.81K |
| acal | Yes | 9.14K |
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-january
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 8.69K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 8.05K |
| rated | Yes | 6.64K |
| Quiet Atlas 0CC9 | Yes | 6.18K |
| Abunawas | Yes | 4.55K |
| OKA222 | Yes | 4.26K |
| Pleasant-Thermometer | Yes | 3.98K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
