
Resolved No on 28 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 45% on 22 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2026 to 28 Feb 2026, the highest close was 45% on 22 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 0.6% on 23 Jan 2026. $290.48K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 22 Jan 2026 – 28 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | 45.0% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 99.67K |
| rated | Yes | 6.65K |
| acal | Yes | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-february
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