Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 90 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2023 to 17 Jan 2024, the highest close was 67% on 30 Oct 2023 and the lowest 6.5% on 9 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 50.5% on 10 Jan 2024. $20.51K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 4:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 20 Oct 2023 – 17 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2023 | 50.0% |
| 17 Jan 2024 | 21.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia increases their level of crude oil production (in tb/d) in Q4 of 2023 over the level in Q3 of 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information released by OPEC based on direct communication, after the close of the 4th financial quarter for 2023 (e.g. https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/publications/338.htm + https://www.opec.org/opec_web/static_files_project/media/downloads/publications/Addendum_October%20MOMR.pdf).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-saudi-arabia-boost-oil-production-in-q4
| Yes |
| 0.07 |
| ssryn | Yes | 0.05 |
| toutiao | Yes | 0.04 |
| ususr | No | 0.03 |
| erdj | Yes | 0.03 |
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