Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2.46 | +$0.46 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
|
| Yes |
| 42.86 |
| $0.070 |
| $1.09 |
| -$1.91 |
| buy |
| 8.06 |
| $0.620 |
| $5 |
| Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?Yes | buy | 64.29 | $0.062 | $4 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.987 | $2.09 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?Yes | sell | 81 | $0.125 | $10.12 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Starbucks say "Protein" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?Yes | sell | 30.37 | $0.221 | $6.71 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.941 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.220 | $1.57 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?Yes | buy | 21.51 | $0.093 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 2025 August third hottest on record?No | buy | 12.7 | $0.630 | $8 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.068 | $1 | Jan 14, 2024 |
 Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 15, 2023 |
 Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 17?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.150 | $4 | Nov 15, 2023 |
 Will Saudi Arabia boost oil production in Q4?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Nov 15, 2023 |
 Trump and Biden both win nomination?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Nov 15, 2023 |
 Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.520 | $1.3 | Nov 15, 2023 |
 Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Nov 8, 2023 |
| Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Oct 24, 2023 |
 [Single Market] Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.930 | $2.06 | Oct 24, 2023 |
 Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Oct 13, 2023 |
| Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Oct 10, 2023 |
| Trump and Biden both win nomination?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Oct 10, 2023 |