Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 16 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2024 to 24 Oct 2024, the highest close was 17.5% on 16 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.9 points down, to 4.6% on 18 Oct 2024. $10.74K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 4:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 16 Oct 2024 – 24 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2024 | 17.5% |
| 24 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.19K |
| tatetracey | Yes | 69 |
| mange | Yes | 1.11 |
| Grisnatch | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the winner of the 2024 U.S. Chess Championship.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2024-us-chess-championship-winner
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