Analytics
Yes is at 49%, down 1 point from 50% when the market opened on 3 Sep 2026.
Across the 54 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 28 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 52%; a month before, 38%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 26.5% on 28 Sep 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 Conference USA Championship Game”.
$31 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.26, with a 94.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is VonVonagh with 24 shares; the largest No position is erdos-baconator with 31.
Trading closes on 6 Dec 2026, 38 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 6:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 54 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 49.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| erdos-baconator | No | 31 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 23.59 |
| 102cats | Yes | 7.41 |
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 Conference USA Championship Game. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 Conference USA Championship Game (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Conference USA Championship Game is cancelled, postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Conference USA Championship Game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Conference USA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-qualify-for-2026-conference-usa-championship-game
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
