Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.4%. Yes opened at 27% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 74 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 4 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 15 Jun 2026 and the lowest 4.6% on 4 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 50% on 15 Jun 2026. $16.23K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 4:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 4 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 27.0% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 4.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Trenchstar | Yes | 1.3K |
| AlphaZBeta | Yes | 427.29 |
| gavinfunda | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is announced to be a bridesmaid at Taylor Swift's wedding to Travis Kelce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Taylor Swift's engagement to Travis Kelce is called off, cancelled, or otherwise broken according to official statements from either party or their legal or social media representatives or a consensus of credible reporting, this market will resolve to "No". If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to announcements or statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the listed individual, or their legal or social media representatives. If no qualifying announcements or statements are made, this market will resolve according to video or photos of the wedding or a consensus of credible reporting. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying announcement. Any later revisions or revocations of bridesmaid status will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-taylor-swifts-bridesmaids-be
| Yes |
| 150 |
| Agust123 | Yes | 142.86 |
| yolobeffen | Yes | 111.11 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 99 |
| acc32 | Yes | 92.03 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
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