Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 201 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 16 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 36% on 29 Apr 2026. $11.9K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 8:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 201 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 20.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidifier | Yes | 520.39 |
| Siggi1 | Yes | 463.27 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 103.27 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-s1mple-retire-before-2027
| ma99 | Yes | 100 |
| akunai | Yes | 100 |
| dontshowmyname | Yes | 56.21 |
| Rapid Kestrel A206 | Yes | 49.21 |
| Rowdy-Arena | Yes | 42.59 |
| farmLiquidity | Yes | 37.81 |
| Those-Exploration | Yes | 33.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
