Analytics
Resolved No on 3 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 48%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 1 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 1 May 2026 to 3 May 2026, the highest close was 52% on 3 May 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 1 May 2026. $784.47 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 2:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 1 May 2026 – 3 May 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | 48.5% |
| 3 May 2026 | 52.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| testbtc | Yes | 25 |
| jollyjoes | Yes | 20 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is named the winner of Saddle Bronc Riding at the 2026 American West Regionals, scheduled to take place May 1-May 2, 2026, per the rules of The American Rodeo. In the event of a tie, the market will resolve based on the official result as determined by The American Rodeo. If multiple winners are declared, this market will resolve in favor of the rider whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If a rider is disqualified or otherwise ineligible to participate in the listed event per the rules of The American Rodeo, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American West Regionals are canceled, postponed or no winner has been declared by May 16, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The American Rodeo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/live/qfgT46FmSiM
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-american-rodeo-west-regional-saddle-bronc-winner
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