Will Russia capture Yunakivka before April?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection between Novoselivka vultysia (H-07) and Sumska vultysia in Yunakivka by March 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yunakivka+intersection.jpeg Yunakivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yunakivka+location.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/7cGvg2QQWSs1PcwH7 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-yunakivka-before-april