Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 45%. Yes opened at 60% on 29 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 29 May 2025 to 30 May 2025, the highest close was 60% on 29 May 2025 and the lowest 45% on 30 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 45% on 30 May 2025. $10.03K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 31, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 29 May 2025 – 30 May 2025, chart shows 40%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 May 2025 | 60.0% |
| 30 May 2025 | 45.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Tide 5BFA | No | 935 |
| Swift Maven 941E | No | 695 |
| Jade Voyager 2D11 | No | 305 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Ross Ulbricht is scheduled to address the Bitcoin 2025 conference on May 29 at 5:05 PM PT (https://b.tc/conference/2025/agenda). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ulbricht says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the specified scheduled speech Ulbricht gives at this event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not made available by May 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-ross-ulbricht-say-at-the-bitcoin-2025-conference
| No |
| 41.67 |
| Swift Meteor C602 | No | 35 |
| Bright Ledger A102 | No | 20 |
| Azure Lynx 48C1 | No | 10 |
| degens9 | Yes | 0.02 |
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