Analytics
Resolved No on 30 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77.5%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 29 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 22.5% on 30 May 2025 and the low 14.5% on 29 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 22.5% on 30 May 2025. $17.56K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 31, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 29 May 2025 – 30 May 2025 · axis zoomed to 10%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 May 2025 | 14.5% |
| 30 May 2025 | 22.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lunar Raven 4F30 | Yes | 1K |
| retyui | No | 1.25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Ross Ulbricht is scheduled to address the Bitcoin 2025 conference on May 29 at 5:05 PM PT (https://bitcoinmagazine.com/politics/u-s-vice-president-jd-vance-to-speak-at-bitcoin-2025-conference). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ross Ulbricht visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on his face during the named scheduled address at this conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 'crying' must occur during the broadcast, while Ulbricht is on stage, for this specific event; if he cries offstage, or at other points during the Bitcoin 2025 conference, it will not count toward this market's resolution. The resolution source is the video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ross-ulbricht-cry-during-the-bitcoin-2025-address
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