Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 15 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 32% on 16 Aug 2025 and the low 1.5% on 2 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 32% on 23 Aug 2025. $2K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 3, 1:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 19 points · 15 Aug 2025 – 2 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2025 | 26.5% |
| 2 Sep 2025 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.92K |
| poolpad | Yes | 300 |
| GandalfElBlanco | Yes | 106 |
| lissartter | Yes | 58.32 |
| IdiotDoomSpiral | Yes | 20 |
| Pocho1530 | Yes | 19.05 |
| JoE | Yes | 17 |
| Fays213 | Yes | 12.44 |
| ken8686 | Yes | 4.96 |
| giantballs | Yes | 0.06 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a polymarket to predict which club Rodrygo will transfer to between August 14, 2025, and September 1, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET. If Rodrygo transfers to the listed club before the resolution deadline, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". This market will close on Monday, September 1, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET, when the La Liga transfer window officially closes. If Rodrygo does not transfer to a new club by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid". A transfer will qualify as "Yes" if Rodrygo officially transfers to the listed club before the resolution deadline, even if he has not yet appeared in a match for them. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid or the new club he joins. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rodrygo-next-club
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