
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 16% on 10 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 177 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 7 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 39.5% on 22 Oct 2025. $24.66K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 177 points, 10 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2025 | 16.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes | 2.03K |
| jayG8 | Yes | 1.07K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 445 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robinhood offers tokenized versions of U.S.-listed equities to U.S.-based users for trading on its platform or an affiliated app it controls by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The tokenized equities must track the price of U.S. stocks such as those listed on the NYSE or Nasdaq. They may be structured as synthetic assets, wrapped instruments, or token representations of real equities, but do not need to confer voting rights or direct ownership. To qualify, U.S.-based users must be able to buy or sell the tokenized equities during the market period. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-robinhood-launch-stock-tokens-in-the-us-before-2026
| donkraider | Yes | 441.73 |
| Far-Writer | Yes | 425.12 |
| NANANA | Yes | 335.5 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 200 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 173 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 169 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 151 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page