Analytics
Yes is at 98.6%, up 48 points from 51% when the market opened on 27 May 2026.
Across the 149 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.6% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 41% on 20 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 86.3%; a month before, 95.3%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 46% on 15 Jun 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Ritual launch a token by ___?”.
$3.54K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.98K, with a 2.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 74 trades, $1.27K bought Yes and $104.23 bought No.
The largest Yes position is neutralwave23 with 785 shares; the largest No position is Arid-Prey with 463. Ten wallets hold 89.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 149 points, 27 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 51.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 98.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 785.23 |
| Arid-Prey | No | 463.38 |
| 43dkl5r | Yes | 341.03 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ritual officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Ritual will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ritual (https://x.com/ritualnet), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ritual-launch-a-token-by
| arcaze |
| No |
| 225.79 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 150.27 |
| Tense-Flame-Logo | No | 92.47 |
| Haradwaith | No | 78.92 |
| lolzzzlol | No | 60 |
| Sweltering-Passion-Fragrance | No | 35 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 31.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
