Analytics
Yes is at 99.8%, up 50 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 May 2026.
Across the 150 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.8% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 29 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 84.4%; a month before, 91.9%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 67% on 7 Jun 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Ritual launch a token by ___?”.
$152 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $16.18K since listing. The order book holds $2.74K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 132 trades, $9.32K bought Yes and $730.63 bought No; the largest was a $6.7K buy of Yes at 99.5¢.
The largest Yes position is littlepig with 6.7K shares; the largest No position is planktonXD with 4.8K. Ten wallets hold 91.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 150 points, 27 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 99.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| littlepig | Yes | 6.74K |
| planktonXD | No | 4.83K |
| 43dkl5r | Yes | 1.01K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ritual officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Ritual will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ritual (https://x.com/ritualnet), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ritual-launch-a-token-by
| Poivre |
| No |
| 900 |
| MaxEnt | No | 688.66 |
| E10ESpoascknasjdhajdDas12t | No | 550 |
| kensi!! | No | 481.72 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 444.02 |
| PV15kjashd912ni1928yd91h2d | No | 366.66 |
| starss11 | Yes | 347.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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