Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 0.9% on 9 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 9 Nov 2024 to 19 Nov 2024, the highest close was 1.5% on 10 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.6% on 15 Nov 2024. $117.75K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 20, 8:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 9 Nov 2024 – 19 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2024 | 0.9% |
| 19 Nov 2024 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 112.75K |
| rolfmayer | Yes | 125 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 20 |
| Twizzler | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a negrisk market group over who will be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-billboard-1-pop-star-of-the-century
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| yoyoyoyoyoyoy | No | 0.05 |
| valeramorkon | No | 0.02 |
