Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.330 |
| $66 |
| May 10, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | sell | 789.65 | $0.251 | $198.14 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 789.65 | $0.286 | $225.69 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?No | sell | 409.49 | $0.366 | $149.7 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?No | sell | 205.82 | $0.295 | $60.68 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?No | sell | 295.92 | $0.326 | $96.39 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Seven Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?Yes | sell | 165.32 | $0.137 | $22.61 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 71.16 | $0.024 | $1.68 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 118.12 | $0.017 | $2.01 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?No | sell | 62.98 | $0.140 | $8.82 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will 'Not Like Us' win Song of the Year?Yes | sell | 24.48 | $0.150 | $3.67 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will 'Not Like Us' win Song of the Year?Yes | sell | 90.48 | $0.160 | $14.48 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?No | sell | 205.27 | $0.302 | $62.08 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | sell | 85.73 | $0.720 | $61.73 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will 'Nickel Boys' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No | sell | 500 | $0.300 | $150.1 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will 'Nickel Boys' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No | sell | 184.17 | $0.310 | $57.09 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will 'Emilia Perez' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No | sell | 23 | $0.015 | $0.35 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will 'The Seed of the Sacred Fig' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?Yes | sell | 20.02 | $0.124 | $2.49 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will 'A Real Pain' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No | sell | 15.09 | $0.430 | $6.49 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?No | sell | 52.33 | $0.750 | $39.25 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 9.55 | $0.060 | $0.57 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?No | sell | 0.43 | $0.830 | $0.36 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?No | sell | 9.95 | $0.938 | $9.33 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?No | sell | 62.44 | $0.500 | $31.22 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?Yes | sell | 278.79 | $0.120 | $33.45 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?Yes | sell | 90.44 | $0.153 | $13.87 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.140 | $23.8 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will 'Sing Sing' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?Yes | sell | 18.38 | $0.730 | $13.42 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?No | sell | 332.42 | $0.340 | $113.02 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 112.97 | $0.810 | $91.51 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 52.79 | $0.810 | $42.76 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?No | sell | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?No | sell | 285.38 | $0.620 | $176.94 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?No | sell | 62.74 | $0.620 | $38.9 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will 'The Substance' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No | sell | 445.7 | $0.320 | $142.62 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will 'Fortnight' win Song of the Year?Yes | sell | 289.68 | $0.012 | $3.42 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will 'A Bar Song (Tipsy)' win Song of the Year?Yes | sell | 216 | $0.026 | $5.53 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 274.83 | $0.167 | $46.02 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 115.13 | $0.140 | $16.12 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?No | sell | 60.07 | $0.690 | $41.45 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?No | sell | 80 | $0.506 | $40.5 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will 'Not Like Us' win Record of the Year?No | sell | 15.4 | $0.900 | $13.86 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will 'A Real Pain' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No | sell | 17.94 | $0.410 | $7.36 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?No | sell | 63.72 | $0.880 | $56.07 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?No | sell | 282.16 | $0.820 | $231.37 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will 'TEXAS HOLD 'EM' win Song of the Year?Yes | sell | 5.19 | $0.031 | $0.16 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?No | sell | 9.75 | $0.978 | $9.54 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will 'New Blue Sun' win Album of the Year?Yes | sell | 47.11 | $0.007 | $0.33 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will 'Djesse Vol. 4' win Album of the Year?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.008 | $1.92 | Dec 21, 2024 |