Analytics
Trading ended on 17 May 2026 with Yes at 1.4%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
The high was 45.5% on 27 Mar 2026 and the low 0.1% on 17 Jun 2026. A week ago Yes was at 1.6%; a month ago, 1.6%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 7.1% on 28 Mar 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “LA-05 Republican Primary Winner”.
$5.98K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is hr26g2re62de with 638 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 884. Ten wallets hold 88.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 20, 2:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 203 points, 27 Mar 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2026 | 45.5% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 1.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 883.51 |
| hr26g2re62de | Yes | 637.52 |
| macrosteaks | No | 561.95 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/la-05-republican-primary-winner
| cowcat | No | 200 |
| Rr55 | Yes | 199.59 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 148.05 |
| MemeLoverOfficial | Yes | 142.51 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 99.61 |
| ghoan | Yes | 65.75 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 60.16 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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