
Resolved No on 11 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 10 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 260 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2025 to 11 Jul 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42.5% on 10 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 16.5% on 19 Oct 2025. $494.52K traded over the market's life.
140 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 7:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 260 points, 10 Oct 2025 – 11 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2025 | 42.5% |
| 11 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 332.31K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 34.2K |
| balthazar | Yes | 11.08K |
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/los-angeles-mayoral-election-117
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Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.