Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 24 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2026 to 29 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 24 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 23% on 25 Sep 2026. $18.55K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 24 Sep 2026 – 29 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | 50.5% |
| 29 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.38K |
| Ready-Judge | Yes | 1.23K |
| drakelong | Yes | 1.17K |
| SwampDust | Yes | 600.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1-box-office-this-weekend
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 407.31 |
| New.Jeans | Yes | 404.89 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 326.05 |
| fanat12 | Yes | 306.74 |
| acal | Yes | 100 |
| Senjor | Yes | 100 |
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