Analytics
Yes is at 18.5%, down 1.5 points from 20% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 20% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 18%.
Reps MS & MT, Dems SC ranks second of the 8 outcomes in “Senate Combo: Mississippi, South Carolina, Montana”. Reps sweep leads at 73.5%; Dems MS & SC, Reps MT is at 5.1%.
$324.95 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $994.24 since listing. The order book holds $12.31K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 44 trades, $101.67 bought Yes and $298.34 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Middovaar with 301 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 562.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 20.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 18.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 561.58 |
| Middovaar | Yes | 300.95 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 234.96 |
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Mississippi, South Carolina, and Montana that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The Montana race is represented by “Republican” and “Independent” (Ind) options. The “Independent” option refers to a win by a candidate running as an independent in the Montana Senate election. For purposes of this market, Seth Bodnar will be considered to be an Independent regardless of any affiliation that he may have with any party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins the Mississippi or South Carolina election, or the Democratic nominee or a third-party candidate wins the Montana election, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/senate-three-way-combo-mississippi-south-carolina-montana
| AnonymousUsername | Yes | 35.88 |
| ItsRigg3d | No | 30.57 |
| 2B9S | No | 26.62 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 19.99 |
| Violet Comet 773D | Yes | 13.33 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 6.67 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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