Analytics
Yes is at 17%, down 30 points from 46.5% when the market opened on 3 Sep 2026.
The high was 46.5% on 3 Sep 2026 and the low 11.5% on 22 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 11.5%; a month ago, 12.5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 36.5% on 5 Oct 2026.
Republicans ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “Which party will win Latino men in the midterms?”. Democrats leads at 74.5%.
$610.99 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.17K since listing. The order book holds $16.06K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 78 trades, $180.79 bought Yes and $770.3 bought No.
The largest Yes position is rustin123 with 979 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 728. Ten wallets hold 94.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Nov 2026, 27 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 11, 3:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 38 points · 3 Sep 2026 – 11 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 46.5% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 17.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rustin123 | Yes | 978.96 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 728.18 |
| cigarettes | No | 280 |
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-latino-men-in-the-midterms
| TheOne777 |
| No |
| 215 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 124.99 |
| donthackme | No | 71.62 |
| AJSV | Yes | 56.3 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 40 |
| predictdogepepewif | Yes | 40 |
| PPMT | No | 23.2 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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