Analytics
Yes is at 97.9%, up 48 points from 50% when the market opened on 25 Aug 2026.
Across the 58 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.3% on 8 Oct 2026 and the lowest 31% on 5 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 97.9%; a month before, 93.5%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 45.5% on 14 Sep 2026.
It is one of 20 markets under “Brazil Série A: Teams relegated (2026)”.
$963.97 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $180.44, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 35 trades, $422.31 bought Yes and $2.56 bought No.
The largest Yes position is only-no with 160 shares; the largest No position is Numitus1994 with 44.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 97.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| only-no | Yes | 160 |
| gwhog | Yes | 47.08 |
| Numitus1994 | No | 43.5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Brazil Série A at the conclusion of the 2026 Brazil Série A season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Brazil Série A for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Brazil Série A, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Brazil Série A. If the 2026 Brazil Série A season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Brazil Série A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/brazil-serie-a-teams-relegated-2026
8 more markets, none above 5.1%.
| Pointed-Wilderness |
| No |
| 27.75 |
| colono | Yes | 26.54 |
| AMAM13 | No | 21 |
| 5655655 | No | 20 |
| Scornful-Thrush | No | 20 |
| lolzzzlol | No | 20 |
| Flingflonger | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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