Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 11 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2025 to 22 Jul 2025, the highest close was 2.5% on 11 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Jul 2025. $30.23K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 4:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 11 Jun 2025 – 22 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2025 | 2.5% |
| 22 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 63.01K |
| cartervega | Yes | 2K |
| NoMoreMister | Yes | 871.68 |
The 27th general election of the House of Councillors is scheduled to be held in Japan by July 27, 2025, to elect half of the 248 members of the House of Councillors, the upper house of the National Diet, for a term of six years. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of the seats that are contested in this election. If voting in the next Japanese election for the House of Councillors does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between a party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed for a party, the name of that party will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Japan's government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-party-gains-most-seats-in-japan-councillors-election
| Yes |
| 830 |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 404 |
| JoE | Yes | 153.05 |
| shine | Yes | 60 |
| Pollyna | Yes | 50 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 50 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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