Analytics
Resolved No on 13 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 43% on 24 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 24 Apr 2026 to 13 May 2026, the highest close was 49% on 25 Apr 2026 and the lowest 3.5% on 13 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 10% on 4 May 2026. $4.19K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 14, 9:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 24 Apr 2026 – 13 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2026 | 43.0% |
| 13 May 2026 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Mispriced47 | Yes | 44.42 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the French Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Ligue 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. If the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ligue-2-team-promoted-to-ligue-1
| Xwyl | Yes | 34.76 |
| Colala | Yes | 20.56 |
| perepuk | Yes | 20.34 |
| Past-Misrepresentation | Yes | 10 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
| ebashim. | Yes | 5 |
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