Will Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives?

politicsResolved

No, settled Aug 30, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.7K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 30, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 30 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 30 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 22.5% on 25 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 3% on 26 Jul 2026. $1.74K traded over the market's life.

18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 30 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Jul 2026	22.5%
30 Aug 2026	1.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	880.94
liamrichhh	Yes	161.29
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	129.93

Rules

How this market was settled

A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.