Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 27 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 27 Mar 2025 to 16 Apr 2025, the highest close was 69% on 1 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 68 points down, to 0.6% on 2 Apr 2025. $516.64K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 17, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 27 Mar 2025 – 16 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2025 | 62.5% |
| 16 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 77.17K |
| Melody626 | Yes | 10.61K |
| nothinghappens | Yes | 10.44K |
| OHv0R3pJ4k3M | Yes | 1.01K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
A special election for Florida's 6th Congressional District is scheduled to take place on April 1, 2025. This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory for Republican Randy Fine. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Randy Fine and the candidate that receives second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receive by the sum of all votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Randy Fine does not win the most votes, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Florida has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fl-6-special-election-randy-fine-margin-of-victory
| SeZEoh5K18 | Yes | 1.01K |
| fortyphor | Yes | 1K |
| pdffollWO | Yes | 1K |
| yomayo45 | Yes | 1K |
| hitorimako | Yes | 1K |
| 5bGW9tqXMn | Yes | 1K |
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