Will Rain Eatmon win TX-18 Special Election?

Market referencewill-rain-eatmon-win-tx-18-special-electionUpdated Jan 16, 2026 UTC

Resolved

No · settled Nov 8, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.1K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 8, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Feb 3, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jan 16, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

98%

Yes / No shares

2.09K / 3.3K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

$1.86K

No sell at 93.2%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Nov 8, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-46 pts

Range

0.1% - 46.0%

Sep 3, 12:00 AM UTC to Nov 8, 12:00 AM UTC

Price historyPolymarket CLOB price history

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 67 points · 3 Sep 2025 – 8 Nov 2025

Yes price, first and last observation
Observed	Yes price
3 Sep 2025	46.0%
8 Nov 2025	0.1%

Remaining holders after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side; not live open interest.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.3K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	744.8
flow-trader-at-optiver

Texas House Special Election Winner

Analytics

Yes price, first and last observation
Observed	Yes price
3 Sep 2025	46.0%
8 Nov 2025	0.1%

Trader

Outcome

Indigo Signal 2966

3.3K

Bright Horizon 81D6

Yes

744.8

flow-trader-at-optiver