
Resolved No on 4 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 3.3% on 24 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 24 Aug 2024 to 4 Sep 2024, the highest close was 6.6% on 2 Sep 2024 and the lowest 2.5% on 4 Sep 2024. $70.13K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 5, 2:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 24 Aug 2024 – 4 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2024 | 3.3% |
| 4 Sep 2024 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 28.31K |
| YanZhang | Yes | 370.37 |
| 8709 | Yes | 252.06 |
| TC2024-144 | Yes | 165 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
US Open Winner (W)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-open-winner-w
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 0557 | Yes | 77 |
| Equal-Soybean | Yes | 16.95 |