Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 30 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 30 May 2025 to 2 Jul 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 30 May 2025 and the lowest 0.6% on 2 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 33.5% on 31 May 2025. $13.57K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 30 May 2025 – 2 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 May 2025 | 49.5% |
| 2 Jul 2025 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 488 |
| gloriafoster | Yes | 17.56 |
| tixon | Yes | 16.67 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 3.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Qatar formally transfers ownership or long-term use rights of a Boeing 747-8 aircraft, or a substantially similar luxury aircraft, to either Donald Trump, the Trump Organization, a Trump-affiliated foundation, trust, or nonprofit, or to the U.S. government (including but not limited to the U.S. Air Force) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying transfer must be confirmed either by official statements from both the Qatari government and the Trump side (including the Trump Organization or relevant U.S. government agency), or by a consensus of credible reporting indicating that such a transfer occurred. The primary resolution source will be official Qatari and U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-qatar-gift-trump-a-new-air-force-one-before-july
| maggiethequeen | No | 1.33 |
| trump.imp | Yes | 0.02 |
| GaySanta | No | 0.01 |
| degens9 | No | 0.01 |
| gabozzzzzzzzzov | No | 0.01 |
| caroline.name | No | 0.01 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
