Analytics
Yes is at 4%, down 47 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 31 Dec 2025.
Across the 272 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (30 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 66.5% on 2 Feb 2026 and the lowest 4% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11.5%; a month before, 22.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 66.5% on 2 Feb 2026.
$199.84K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.36K, with a 1.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.77K bought Yes and $26.26K bought No; the largest was a $6.96K buy of No at 83.0¢.
The largest Yes position is mister1111 with 13.9K shares; the largest No position is mewmew1 with 13.6K. Ten wallets hold 55.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 9:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 272 points, 31 Dec 2025 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 50.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mister1111 | Yes | 13.93K |
| mewmew1 | No | 13.6K |
| Hyperlong | Yes | 2.04K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pumpfun-airdop-by
| StephenWallace2948 |
| No |
| 1.42K |
| yulen | No | 884.88 |
| BobbyBakedBeans | No | 693.99 |
| AmandaMiller2862 | Yes | 624 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 614.92 |
| PatriciaHarrell1669 | Yes | 600 |
| LeslieMartinez3502 | Yes | 597 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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