Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 13% on 6 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 6 Dec 2025 to 12 Dec 2025, the highest close was 13% on 6 Dec 2025 and the lowest 1% on 12 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.9 points down, to 4.1% on 7 Dec 2025. $3.18K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 14, 12:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 6 Dec 2025 – 12 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 13.0% |
| 12 Dec 2025 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.13K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 873 |
| Shallow-Troop | Yes | 509.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-december-12
| Yes |
| 305.86 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 270 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 264.99 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 245.9 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 227 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 195.83 |
| chatship | Yes | 166.23 |
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