Analytics
Yes is at 98.5%, up 19 points from 79% when the market opened on 13 Mar 2026.
Across the 209 daily closes on record from 13 Mar 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.6% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 65.3% on 17 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 97.2%; a month before, 85.8%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 65.3% on 17 Jun 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?”.
$2.22K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $44.21K since listing. The order book holds $1.63K, with a 2.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 434 trades, $13.18K bought Yes and $1.61K bought No; the largest was a $1.83K buy of Yes at 87.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Fickle-Halt-Window with 1.8K shares; the largest No position is MaxEnt with 4.1K. Ten wallets hold 72.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 209 points, 13 Mar 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Mar 2026 | 79.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 99.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MaxEnt | No | 4.14K |
| Fickle-Halt-Window | Yes | 1.84K |
| CallmeKaty | Yes | 1.8K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-predictfun-launch-a-token-by
| SeniorLaghetto |
| Yes |
| 1.57K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 1.31K |
| 8dcc906a9b | Yes | 1.13K |
| twe2nty | No | 870.61 |
| web2256 | No | 645.4 |
| truetreeoflifestudent | No | 500 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 456.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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